Prediction of Mathis Bondaz vs Lui Maxted at M25 Austin 11-21-25

• How do they perform on their second serve recently? Mathis Bondaz has won 39.95% of points, while Lui Maxted is slightly higher at 44.19%.
• Both players are closely matched in second serve return statistics, with Bondaz at 48.10% and Maxted marginally better at 48.65%.
• On first serve returns, Bondaz shows a stronger performance at 32.05%, compared to Maxted's 25.34%.
• Does under pressure performance matter? Indeed, Maxted excels by saving 56.25% of breakpoints versus Bondaz's 47.37%.
• Reviewing their match performance over the last year, Maxted holds a win rate of 70.59%, slightly surpassing Bondaz's 66.67%.
• Both players are at their best on hard surfaces, with an identical win percentage of 68%.
• In terms of tour level, Maxted plays predominantly successful at Futures/ITF 10K events, boasting a win rate of 79.17%, while Bondaz follows with 69.57% success.
• Who faces tougher opponents? Maxted has competed against slightly higher-ranked players, with an average rank of 455.62, compared to Bondaz's 470.21.
• In deciding sets, Maxted leads marginally with a win rate of 75%, compared to Bondaz's 71%.
• When it comes to break point conversions, Bondaz has the edge at 39.25%, while Maxted sits at 34.00%.

Editorial Prediction (November 21, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming tennis match is set to be closely contested, with both Mathis Bondaz and Lui Maxted displaying similar strengths on various performance metrics.

Maxted shows a slight advantage in several key areas such as second serve performance and experience against higher-ranked opponents. However, Bondaz's superior break point conversion and first serve return capabilities could prove decisive.

Considering the stats and current form, Lui Maxted appears to have a narrow edge, but Bondaz’s ability to seize opportunities means an upset cannot be ruled out.

Taking all factors into account, Lui Maxted is slightly favored to win this match, although the competition will surely be fierce.